Time Series Forecasting

Time Series Forecasting is the task of fitting a model to historical, time-stamped data in order to predict future values. Traditional approaches include moving average, exponential smoothing, and ARIMA, though models as various as RNNs, Transformers, or XGBoost can also be applied. The most popular benchmark is the ETTh1 dataset. Models are typically evaluated using the Mean Square Error (MSE) or Root Mean Square Error (RMSE).

( Image credit: ThaiBinh Nguyen )

Papers

Recently Added Most Hyped Most Active Needs Verification Most Verified

Showing 976–1000 of 1609 papers

Title	Date	Tasks	Status
Forecasting and Analyzing the Military Expenditure of India Using Box-Jenkins ARIMA Model	Nov 10, 2020	ManagementTime Series	—Unverified
Forecasting Application Counts in Talent Acquisition Platforms: Harnessing Multimodal Signals using LMs	Nov 19, 2024	Job classificationTime Series	—Unverified
Forecasting COVID-19 Caseloads Using Unsupervised Embedding Clusters of Social Media Posts	Jan 16, 2022	SentenceTime Series	—Unverified
Forecasting COVID-19 Caseloads Using Unsupervised Embedding Clusters of Social Media Posts	May 20, 2022	SentenceTime Series	—Unverified
Forecasting Emergency Department Capacity Constraints for COVID Isolation Beds	Nov 9, 2020	Time SeriesTime Series Analysis	—Unverified
Forecasting Emerging Trends from Scientific Literature	May 1, 2016	regressionTime Series	—Unverified
Forecasting foreign exchange rates with regression networks tuned by Bayesian optimization	Apr 26, 2022	Bayesian Optimizationglobal-optimization	—Unverified
Forecasting Macroeconomic Dynamics using a Calibrated Data-Driven Agent-based Model	Sep 27, 2024	Bayesian InferenceTime Series	—Unverified
Forecasting Market Prices using DL with Data Augmentation and Meta-learning: ARIMA still wins!	Oct 19, 2021	Data AugmentationDeep Learning	—Unverified
Forecasting Method for Grouped Time Series with the Use of k-Means Algorithm	Sep 15, 2015	ClusteringTime Series	—Unverified
Forecasting Nonnegative Time Series via Sliding Mask Method (SMM) and Latent Clustered Forecast (LCF)	Feb 10, 2021	ClusteringDimensionality Reduction	—Unverified
Forecasting Opioid Incidents for Rapid Actionable Data for Opioid Response in Kentucky	Oct 21, 2024	Time SeriesTime Series Forecasting	—Unverified
Forecasting Short-term load using Econometrics time series model with T-student Distribution	Sep 28, 2020	EconometricsLoad Forecasting	—Unverified
Forecasting The JSE Top 40 Using Long Short-Term Memory Networks	Apr 20, 2021	Time SeriesTime Series Analysis	—Unverified
Forecasting VIX using interpretable Kolmogorov-Arnold networks	Feb 3, 2025	Kolmogorov-Arnold NetworksTime Series	—Unverified
Forecasting with Sparse but Informative Variables: A Case Study in Predicting Blood Glucose	Apr 17, 2023	Time Series Forecasting	—Unverified
Forecast reconciliation for vaccine supply chain optimization	May 2, 2023	Time SeriesTime Series Forecasting	—Unverified
ForecastTB An R Package as a Test-Bench for Time Series Forecasting Application of Wind Speed and Solar Radiation Modeling	Apr 4, 2020	Time SeriesTime Series Analysis	—Unverified
Forecast-Then-Optimize Deep Learning Methods	Jun 16, 2025	Decision MakingDeep Learning	—Unverified
Foundation models for time series forecasting: Application in conformal prediction	Jul 9, 2025	Conformal PredictionPrediction	—Unverified
Foundations of Sequence-to-Sequence Modeling for Time Series	May 9, 2018	Time SeriesTime Series Analysis	—Unverified
FoundTS: Comprehensive and Unified Benchmarking of Foundation Models for Time Series Forecasting	Oct 15, 2024	Benchmarkingenergy management	—Unverified
Fourier Head: Helping Large Language Models Learn Complex Probability Distributions	Oct 29, 2024	Decision MakingTime Series Forecasting	—Unverified
Fourier Series Guided Design of Quantum Convolutional Neural Networks for Enhanced Time Series Forecasting	Apr 23, 2024	Time SeriesTime Series Forecasting	—Unverified
FRANS: Automatic Feature Extraction for Time Series Forecasting	Sep 15, 2022	Dimensionality ReductionMeta-Learning	—Unverified

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All datasets ETTh1 (336) Multivariate ETTh1 (720) Multivariate ETTh2 (336) Multivariate ETTh2 (720) Multivariate ETTh1 (192) Multivariate ETTh2 (192) Multivariate ETTh2 (96) Multivariate ETTh1 (96) Multivariate Weather (192)ETTh1 (720) Univariate Weather (96)Electricity (96)

Benchmark Results

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Informer	MSE	0.88	—	Unverified
2	QuerySelector	MSE	0.85	—	Unverified
3	Transformer	MSE	0.83	—	Unverified
4	Aaren	MSE	0.65	—	Unverified
5	RPMixer	MSE	0.52	—	Unverified
6	MOIRAILarge	MSE	0.51	—	Unverified
7	ATFNet	MSE	0.51	—	Unverified
8	Autoformer	MSE	0.51	—	Unverified
9	SCINet	MSE	0.5	—	Unverified
10	S-Mamba	MSE	0.49	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	QuerySelector	MSE	1.12	—	Unverified
2	Transformer	MSE	1.11	—	Unverified
3	Informer	MSE	0.94	—	Unverified
4	GLinear	MSE	0.59	—	Unverified
5	SCINet	MSE	0.54	—	Unverified
6	MoLE-DLinear	MSE	0.51	—	Unverified
7	PRformer	MSE	0.49	—	Unverified
8	TEFN	MSE	0.48	—	Unverified
9	DLinear	MSE	0.47	—	Unverified
10	FiLM	MSE	0.47	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Transformer	MSE	2.66	—	Unverified
2	QuerySelector	MSE	2.32	—	Unverified
3	Informer	MSE	1.67	—	Unverified
4	DLinear	MSE	0.45	—	Unverified
5	TEFN	MSE	0.42	—	Unverified
6	MoLE-DLinear	MSE	0.42	—	Unverified
7	FiLM	MSE	0.38	—	Unverified
8	MoLE-RLinear	MSE	0.37	—	Unverified
9	SCINet	MSE	0.37	—	Unverified
10	PRformer	MSE	0.36	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Transformer	MSE	3.18	—	Unverified
2	QuerySelector	MSE	3.07	—	Unverified
3	Informer	MSE	2.34	—	Unverified
4	MoLE-DLinear	MSE	0.61	—	Unverified
5	DLinear	MSE	0.61	—	Unverified
6	SCINet	MSE	0.48	—	Unverified
7	FiLM	MSE	0.44	—	Unverified
8	TEFN	MSE	0.43	—	Unverified
9	TiDE	MSE	0.42	—	Unverified
10	MoLE-RLinear	MSE	0.41	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	MoLE-DLinear	MSE	0.45	—	Unverified
2	TEFN	MSE	0.43	—	Unverified
3	FiLM	MSE	0.41	—	Unverified
4	PatchTST/64	MSE	0.41	—	Unverified
5	TiDE	MSE	0.41	—	Unverified
6	NLinear	MSE	0.41	—	Unverified
7	DiPE-Linear	MSE	0.41	—	Unverified
8	DLinear	MSE	0.41	—	Unverified
9	RLinear	MSE	0.4	—	Unverified
10	MoLE-RLinear	MSE	0.4	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	DLinear	MSE	0.38	—	Unverified
2	TEFN	MSE	0.38	—	Unverified
3	MoLE-DLinear	MSE	0.36	—	Unverified
4	FiLM	MSE	0.36	—	Unverified
5	NLinear	MSE	0.34	—	Unverified
6	PatchTST/64	MSE	0.34	—	Unverified
7	MoLE-RLinear	MSE	0.34	—	Unverified
8	LTBoost (drop_last=false)	MSE	0.33	—	Unverified
9	PRformer	MSE	0.33	—	Unverified
10	TiDE	MSE	0.33	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	DLinear	MSE	0.29	—	Unverified
2	TEFN	MSE	0.29	—	Unverified
3	MoLE-DLinear	MSE	0.29	—	Unverified
4	FiLM	MSE	0.28	—	Unverified
5	NLinear	MSE	0.28	—	Unverified
6	TSMixer	MSE	0.28	—	Unverified
7	DiPE-Linear	MSE	0.28	—	Unverified
8	PatchTST/64	MSE	0.27	—	Unverified
9	MoLE-RLinear	MSE	0.27	—	Unverified
10	TiDE	MSE	0.27	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	TEFN	MSE	0.38	—	Unverified
2	MoLE-DLinear	MSE	0.38	—	Unverified
3	MoLE-RLinear	MSE	0.38	—	Unverified
4	TiDE	MSE	0.38	—	Unverified
5	FiLM	MSE	0.37	—	Unverified
6	PatchTST/64	MSE	0.37	—	Unverified
7	DiPE-Linear	MSE	0.37	—	Unverified
8	TSMixer	MSE	0.37	—	Unverified
9	RLinear	MSE	0.37	—	Unverified
10	TTM	MSE	0.36	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	TEFN	MSE	0.23	—	Unverified
2	DLinear	MSE	0.22	—	Unverified