Time Series Forecasting

Time Series Forecasting is the task of fitting a model to historical, time-stamped data in order to predict future values. Traditional approaches include moving average, exponential smoothing, and ARIMA, though models as various as RNNs, Transformers, or XGBoost can also be applied. The most popular benchmark is the ETTh1 dataset. Models are typically evaluated using the Mean Square Error (MSE) or Root Mean Square Error (RMSE).

( Image credit: ThaiBinh Nguyen )

Papers

Recently Added Most Hyped Most Active Needs Verification Most Verified

Showing 476–500 of 1609 papers

Title	Date	Tasks	Status
Uncovering the Functional Roles of Nonlinearity in Memory	Jun 9, 2025	speech-recognitionSpeech Recognition	—Unverified
Benchmarking Pre-Trained Time Series Models for Electricity Price Forecasting	Jun 9, 2025	BenchmarkingDecision Making	—Unverified
MIRA: Medical Time Series Foundation Model for Real-World Health Data	Jun 9, 2025	EthicsMissing Values	—Unverified
End-to-End Probabilistic Framework for Learning with Hard Constraints	Jun 8, 2025	Probabilistic Time Series Forecastingscoring rule	—Unverified
A Statistical Framework for Model Selection in LSTM Networks	Jun 7, 2025	Model SelectionTime Series Forecasting	—Unverified
The cost of ensembling: is it always worth combining?	Jun 5, 2025	Ensemble LearningTime Series Forecasting	—Unverified
Trojan Horse Hunt in Time Series Forecasting for Space Operations	Jun 2, 2025	Model PoisoningTime Series	—Unverified
Stock Market Telepathy: Graph Neural Networks Predicting the Secret Conversations between MINT and G7 Countries	Jun 2, 2025	Graph Neural NetworkMultivariate Time Series Forecasting	—Unverified
Revisiting LLMs as Zero-Shot Time-Series Forecasters: Small Noise Can Break Large Models	May 31, 2025	SensitivityTime Series	CodeCode Available
Binary Cumulative Encoding meets Time Series Forecasting	May 30, 2025	Time SeriesTime Series Forecasting	—Unverified
Multi-Modal View Enhanced Large Vision Models for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting	May 29, 2025	Inductive BiasTime Series	—Unverified
Non-collective Calibrating Strategy for Time Series Forecasting	May 29, 2025	Time SeriesTime Series Forecasting	CodeCode Available
Improving Time Series Forecasting via Instance-aware Post-hoc Revision	May 29, 2025	Time SeriesTime Series Forecasting	—Unverified
Multivariate de Bruijn Graphs: A Symbolic Graph Framework for Time Series Forecasting	May 28, 2025	Time SeriesTime Series Forecasting	CodeCode Available
Continuous Evolution Pool: Taming Recurring Concept Drift in Online Time Series Forecasting	May 28, 2025	Time SeriesTime Series Forecasting	—Unverified
Synthetic Time Series Forecasting with Transformer Architectures: Extensive Simulation Benchmarks	May 26, 2025	BenchmarkingDecision Making Under Uncertainty	CodeCode Available
Comparative analysis of financial data differentiation techniques using LSTM neural network	May 25, 2025	Time Series Forecasting	—Unverified
TransDF: Time-Series Forecasting Needs Transformed Label Alignment	May 23, 2025	Time SeriesTime Series Forecasting	—Unverified
HyperIMTS: Hypergraph Neural Network for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecasting	May 23, 2025	Multivariate Time Series ForecastingTime Series	—Unverified
CAIFormer: A Causal Informed Transformer for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting	May 22, 2025	AllMultivariate Time Series Forecasting	—Unverified
Time Tracker: Mixture-of-Experts-Enhanced Foundation Time Series Forecasting Model with Decoupled Training Pipelines	May 21, 2025	Graph LearningMixture-of-Experts	—Unverified
MoTime: A Dataset Suite for Multimodal Time Series Forecasting	May 21, 2025	Time SeriesTime Series Forecasting	—Unverified
Human in the Loop Adaptive Optimization for Improved Time Series Forecasting	May 21, 2025	Language ModelingLanguage Modelling	CodeCode Available
Robust Multi-Modal Forecasting: Integrating Static and Dynamic Features	May 21, 2025	Time SeriesTime Series Forecasting	CodeCode Available
Byte Pair Encoding for Efficient Time Series Forecasting	May 20, 2025	Time SeriesTime Series Analysis	—Unverified

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All datasets ETTh1 (336) Multivariate ETTh1 (720) Multivariate ETTh2 (336) Multivariate ETTh2 (720) Multivariate ETTh1 (192) Multivariate ETTh2 (192) Multivariate ETTh2 (96) Multivariate ETTh1 (96) Multivariate Weather (192)ETTh1 (720) Univariate Weather (96)Electricity (96)

Benchmark Results

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Informer	MSE	0.88	—	Unverified
2	QuerySelector	MSE	0.85	—	Unverified
3	Transformer	MSE	0.83	—	Unverified
4	Aaren	MSE	0.65	—	Unverified
5	RPMixer	MSE	0.52	—	Unverified
6	MOIRAILarge	MSE	0.51	—	Unverified
7	ATFNet	MSE	0.51	—	Unverified
8	Autoformer	MSE	0.51	—	Unverified
9	SCINet	MSE	0.5	—	Unverified
10	S-Mamba	MSE	0.49	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	QuerySelector	MSE	1.12	—	Unverified
2	Transformer	MSE	1.11	—	Unverified
3	Informer	MSE	0.94	—	Unverified
4	GLinear	MSE	0.59	—	Unverified
5	SCINet	MSE	0.54	—	Unverified
6	MoLE-DLinear	MSE	0.51	—	Unverified
7	PRformer	MSE	0.49	—	Unverified
8	TEFN	MSE	0.48	—	Unverified
9	DLinear	MSE	0.47	—	Unverified
10	FiLM	MSE	0.47	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Transformer	MSE	2.66	—	Unverified
2	QuerySelector	MSE	2.32	—	Unverified
3	Informer	MSE	1.67	—	Unverified
4	DLinear	MSE	0.45	—	Unverified
5	TEFN	MSE	0.42	—	Unverified
6	MoLE-DLinear	MSE	0.42	—	Unverified
7	FiLM	MSE	0.38	—	Unverified
8	MoLE-RLinear	MSE	0.37	—	Unverified
9	SCINet	MSE	0.37	—	Unverified
10	PRformer	MSE	0.36	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Transformer	MSE	3.18	—	Unverified
2	QuerySelector	MSE	3.07	—	Unverified
3	Informer	MSE	2.34	—	Unverified
4	MoLE-DLinear	MSE	0.61	—	Unverified
5	DLinear	MSE	0.61	—	Unverified
6	SCINet	MSE	0.48	—	Unverified
7	FiLM	MSE	0.44	—	Unverified
8	TEFN	MSE	0.43	—	Unverified
9	TiDE	MSE	0.42	—	Unverified
10	MoLE-RLinear	MSE	0.41	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	MoLE-DLinear	MSE	0.45	—	Unverified
2	TEFN	MSE	0.43	—	Unverified
3	FiLM	MSE	0.41	—	Unverified
4	PatchTST/64	MSE	0.41	—	Unverified
5	TiDE	MSE	0.41	—	Unverified
6	NLinear	MSE	0.41	—	Unverified
7	DiPE-Linear	MSE	0.41	—	Unverified
8	DLinear	MSE	0.41	—	Unverified
9	RLinear	MSE	0.4	—	Unverified
10	MoLE-RLinear	MSE	0.4	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	DLinear	MSE	0.38	—	Unverified
2	TEFN	MSE	0.38	—	Unverified
3	MoLE-DLinear	MSE	0.36	—	Unverified
4	FiLM	MSE	0.36	—	Unverified
5	NLinear	MSE	0.34	—	Unverified
6	PatchTST/64	MSE	0.34	—	Unverified
7	MoLE-RLinear	MSE	0.34	—	Unverified
8	LTBoost (drop_last=false)	MSE	0.33	—	Unverified
9	PRformer	MSE	0.33	—	Unverified
10	TiDE	MSE	0.33	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	DLinear	MSE	0.29	—	Unverified
2	TEFN	MSE	0.29	—	Unverified
3	MoLE-DLinear	MSE	0.29	—	Unverified
4	FiLM	MSE	0.28	—	Unverified
5	NLinear	MSE	0.28	—	Unverified
6	TSMixer	MSE	0.28	—	Unverified
7	DiPE-Linear	MSE	0.28	—	Unverified
8	PatchTST/64	MSE	0.27	—	Unverified
9	MoLE-RLinear	MSE	0.27	—	Unverified
10	TiDE	MSE	0.27	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	TEFN	MSE	0.38	—	Unverified
2	MoLE-DLinear	MSE	0.38	—	Unverified
3	MoLE-RLinear	MSE	0.38	—	Unverified
4	TiDE	MSE	0.38	—	Unverified
5	FiLM	MSE	0.37	—	Unverified
6	PatchTST/64	MSE	0.37	—	Unverified
7	DiPE-Linear	MSE	0.37	—	Unverified
8	TSMixer	MSE	0.37	—	Unverified
9	RLinear	MSE	0.37	—	Unverified
10	TTM	MSE	0.36	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	TEFN	MSE	0.23	—	Unverified
2	DLinear	MSE	0.22	—	Unverified