SOTAVerified

Time Series Forecasting

Time Series Forecasting is the task of fitting a model to historical, time-stamped data in order to predict future values. Traditional approaches include moving average, exponential smoothing, and ARIMA, though models as various as RNNs, Transformers, or XGBoost can also be applied. The most popular benchmark is the ETTh1 dataset. Models are typically evaluated using the Mean Square Error (MSE) or Root Mean Square Error (RMSE).

( Image credit: ThaiBinh Nguyen )

Papers

Showing 851900 of 1609 papers

TitleStatusHype
UmambaTSF: A U-shaped Multi-Scale Long-Term Time Series Forecasting Method Using Mamba0
Uncertainty-Aware Crime Prediction With Spatial Temporal Multivariate Graph Neural Networks0
Surrogate uncertainty estimation for your time series forecasting black-box: learn when to trust0
Uncertainty Quantification for Traffic Forecasting: A Unified Approach0
Uncovering the Functional Roles of Nonlinearity in Memory0
Understanding Different Design Choices in Training Large Time Series Models0
Understanding the input-output relationship of neural networks in the time series forecasting radon levels at Canfranc Underground Laboratory0
Unify and Anchor: A Context-Aware Transformer for Cross-Domain Time Series Forecasting0
UniTST: Effectively Modeling Inter-Series and Intra-Series Dependencies for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting0
Univariate Long-Term Municipal Water Demand Forecasting0
Universal time-series forecasting with mixture predictors0
Unlocking the Potential of Linear Networks for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecasting0
Unlocking the Power of LSTM for Long Term Time Series Forecasting0
Unsupervised learning for economic risk evaluation in the context of Covid-19 pandemic0
Using ARIMA to Predict the Expansion of Subscriber Data Consumption0
Using Pre-trained LLMs for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting0
VAEneu: A New Avenue for VAE Application on Probabilistic Forecasting0
Variance Reduced Training with Stratified Sampling for Forecasting Models0
Variational Dynamic Mixtures0
Variations on two-parameter families of forecasting functions: seasonal/nonseasonal Models, comparison to the exponential smoothing and ARIMA models, and applications to stock market data0
Vision-Enhanced Time Series Forecasting via Latent Diffusion Models0
Vision-Guided Forecasting -- Visual Context for Multi-Horizon Time Series Forecasting0
Visual Time Series Forecasting: An Image-driven Approach0
Visual Time Series Forecasting: An Image-driven Approach0
Volatility Forecasting in Global Financial Markets Using TimeMixer0
VQ-AR: Vector Quantized Autoregressive Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting0
WaveBound: Dynamic Error Bounds for Stable Time Series Forecasting0
Wavelet‐attention‐based traffic prediction for smart cities0
Weather Prediction Using CNN-LSTM for Time Series Analysis: A Case Study on Delhi Temperature Data0
WEITS: A Wavelet-enhanced residual framework for interpretable time series forecasting0
What is the best RNN-cell structure for forecasting each time series behavior?0
When and How: Learning Identifiable Latent States for Nonstationary Time Series Forecasting0
Wildfire Risk Prediction: A Review0
WindowMixer: Intra-Window and Inter-Window Modeling for Time Series Forecasting0
Wisdom of the Crowds in Forecasting: Forecast Summarization for Supporting Future Event Prediction0
XForecast: Evaluating Natural Language Explanations for Time Series Forecasting0
XRMDN: An Extended Recurrent Mixture Density Network for Short-Term Probabilistic Rider Demand Forecasting with High Volatility0
You May Not Need Order in Time Series Forecasting0
Zero-shot and few-shot time series forecasting with ordinal regression recurrent neural networks0
Zero-Shot Forecasting Mortality Rates: A Global Study0
Zero Shot Time Series Forecasting Using Kolmogorov Arnold Networks0
MVG-CRPS: A Robust Loss Function for Multivariate Probabilistic Forecasting0
Analyzing Customer-Facing Vendor Experiences with Time Series Forecasting and Monte Carlo Techniques0
Hedge Fund Portfolio Construction Using PolyModel Theory and iTransformer0
Context-Aware Probabilistic Modeling with LLM for Multimodal Time Series Forecasting0
Rethinking Irregular Time Series Forecasting: A Simple yet Effective Baseline0
Effective Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting with Fourier Adaptive Noise-Separated Diffusion0
Context parroting: A simple but tough-to-beat baseline for foundation models in scientific machine learning0
IISE PG&E Energy Analytics Challenge 2025: Hourly-Binned Regression Models Beat Transformers in Load Forecasting0
The cost of ensembling: is it always worth combining?0
Show:102550
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Benchmark Results

#ModelMetricClaimedVerifiedStatus
1InformerMSE0.88Unverified
2QuerySelectorMSE0.85Unverified
3TransformerMSE0.83Unverified
4AarenMSE0.65Unverified
5RPMixerMSE0.52Unverified
6MOIRAILargeMSE0.51Unverified
7ATFNetMSE0.51Unverified
8AutoformerMSE0.51Unverified
9SCINetMSE0.5Unverified
10S-MambaMSE0.49Unverified
#ModelMetricClaimedVerifiedStatus
1QuerySelectorMSE1.12Unverified
2TransformerMSE1.11Unverified
3InformerMSE0.94Unverified
4GLinearMSE0.59Unverified
5SCINetMSE0.54Unverified
6MoLE-DLinearMSE0.51Unverified
7PRformerMSE0.49Unverified
8TEFNMSE0.48Unverified
9DLinearMSE0.47Unverified
10FiLMMSE0.47Unverified
#ModelMetricClaimedVerifiedStatus
1TransformerMSE2.66Unverified
2QuerySelectorMSE2.32Unverified
3InformerMSE1.67Unverified
4DLinearMSE0.45Unverified
5TEFNMSE0.42Unverified
6MoLE-DLinearMSE0.42Unverified
7FiLMMSE0.38Unverified
8MoLE-RLinearMSE0.37Unverified
9SCINetMSE0.37Unverified
10PRformerMSE0.36Unverified
#ModelMetricClaimedVerifiedStatus
1TransformerMSE3.18Unverified
2QuerySelectorMSE3.07Unverified
3InformerMSE2.34Unverified
4MoLE-DLinearMSE0.61Unverified
5DLinearMSE0.61Unverified
6SCINetMSE0.48Unverified
7FiLMMSE0.44Unverified
8TEFNMSE0.43Unverified
9TiDEMSE0.42Unverified
10MoLE-RLinearMSE0.41Unverified
#ModelMetricClaimedVerifiedStatus
1MoLE-DLinearMSE0.45Unverified
2TEFNMSE0.43Unverified
3FiLMMSE0.41Unverified
4PatchTST/64MSE0.41Unverified
5TiDEMSE0.41Unverified
6NLinearMSE0.41Unverified
7DiPE-LinearMSE0.41Unverified
8DLinearMSE0.41Unverified
9RLinearMSE0.4Unverified
10MoLE-RLinearMSE0.4Unverified
#ModelMetricClaimedVerifiedStatus
1DLinearMSE0.38Unverified
2TEFNMSE0.38Unverified
3MoLE-DLinearMSE0.36Unverified
4FiLMMSE0.36Unverified
5NLinearMSE0.34Unverified
6PatchTST/64MSE0.34Unverified
7MoLE-RLinearMSE0.34Unverified
8LTBoost (drop_last=false)MSE0.33Unverified
9PRformerMSE0.33Unverified
10TiDEMSE0.33Unverified
#ModelMetricClaimedVerifiedStatus
1DLinearMSE0.29Unverified
2TEFNMSE0.29Unverified
3MoLE-DLinearMSE0.29Unverified
4FiLMMSE0.28Unverified
5NLinearMSE0.28Unverified
6TSMixerMSE0.28Unverified
7DiPE-LinearMSE0.28Unverified
8PatchTST/64MSE0.27Unverified
9MoLE-RLinearMSE0.27Unverified
10TiDEMSE0.27Unverified
#ModelMetricClaimedVerifiedStatus
1TEFNMSE0.38Unverified
2MoLE-DLinearMSE0.38Unverified
3MoLE-RLinearMSE0.38Unverified
4TiDEMSE0.38Unverified
5FiLMMSE0.37Unverified
6PatchTST/64MSE0.37Unverified
7DiPE-LinearMSE0.37Unverified
8TSMixerMSE0.37Unverified
9RLinearMSE0.37Unverified
10TTMMSE0.36Unverified
#ModelMetricClaimedVerifiedStatus
1TEFNMSE0.23Unverified
2DLinearMSE0.22Unverified