Trajectory Prediction

Trajectory Prediction is the problem of predicting the short-term (1-3 seconds) and long-term (3-5 seconds) spatial coordinates of various road-agents such as cars, buses, pedestrians, rickshaws, and animals, etc. These road-agents have different dynamic behaviors that may correspond to aggressive or conservative driving styles.

Source: Forecasting Trajectory and Behavior of Road-Agents Using Spectral Clustering in Graph-LSTMs

Papers

Recently Added Most Hyped Most Active Needs Verification Most Verified

Showing 676–700 of 1004 papers

Title	Date	Tasks	Status
Adaptive Trajectory Prediction via Transferable GNN	Mar 9, 2022	Autonomous DrivingGraph Neural Network	—Unverified
CUQDS: Conformal Uncertainty Quantification under Distribution Shift for Trajectory Prediction	Jun 17, 2024	Predictionregression	—Unverified
AdapTraj: A Multi-Source Domain Generalization Framework for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction	Dec 22, 2023	Domain GeneralizationTrajectory Prediction	—Unverified
AdvDO: Realistic Adversarial Attacks for Trajectory Prediction	Sep 19, 2022	Adversarial AttackAdversarial Robustness	—Unverified
A Fast and Map-Free Model for Trajectory Prediction in Traffics	Jul 19, 2023	Trajectory Prediction	—Unverified
A First Physical-World Trajectory Prediction Attack via LiDAR-induced Deceptions in Autonomous Driving	Jun 17, 2024	Autonomous DrivingAutonomous Vehicles	—Unverified
A Hierarchical Hybrid Learning Framework for Multi-agent Trajectory Prediction	Mar 22, 2023	Autonomous VehiclesMotion Planning	—Unverified
AI Algorithm for Predicting and Optimizing Trajectory of UAV Swarm	May 20, 2024	Collision AvoidanceTrajectory Prediction	—Unverified
A Learning-Based Framework for Two-Dimensional Vehicle Maneuver Prediction over V2V Networks	Aug 1, 2018	Parameter PredictionPrediction	—Unverified
A Machine Learning Approach to Air Traffic Route Choice Modelling	Feb 19, 2018	BIG-bench Machine LearningDecision Making	—Unverified
AMEND: A Mixture of Experts Framework for Long-tailed Trajectory Prediction	Feb 13, 2024	Contrastive LearningMixture-of-Experts	—Unverified
A Multidimensional Graph Fourier Transformation Neural Network for Vehicle Trajectory Prediction	May 12, 2023	DecoderDescriptive	—Unverified
A Multi-Modal Knowledge-Enhanced Framework for Vessel Trajectory Prediction	Mar 27, 2025	Language ModelingLanguage Modelling	—Unverified
A Multi-Modal States based Vehicle Descriptor and Dilated Convolutional Social Pooling for Vehicle Trajectory Prediction	Mar 7, 2020	Autonomous VehiclesDecision Making	—Unverified
A Multi-Stage Goal-Driven Network for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction	Jun 26, 2024	Autonomous VehiclesManagement	—Unverified
A Multi-task Learning Framework for Drone State Identification and Trajectory Prediction	Sep 13, 2023	Multi-Task LearningTrajectory Prediction	—Unverified
Analysis and Prediction of Pedestrian Crosswalk Behavior during Automated Vehicle Interactions	Mar 22, 2020	Motion PlanningPedestrian Trajectory Prediction	—Unverified
Analyzing the Variety Loss in the Context of Probabilistic Trajectory Prediction	Jul 23, 2019	Autonomous DrivingDiversity	—Unverified
An Approach to Vehicle Trajectory Prediction Using Automatically Generated Traffic Maps	Feb 23, 2018	PredictionTrajectory Prediction	—Unverified
AnchorDP3: 3D Affordance Guided Sparse Diffusion Policy for Robotic Manipulation	Jun 24, 2025	Multi-Task LearningSemantic Segmentation	—Unverified
An End-to-End Framework of Road User Detection, Tracking, and Prediction from Monocular Images	Aug 9, 2023	Autonomous DrivingMulti-Object Tracking	—Unverified
An End-to-End Learning Approach for Trajectory Prediction in Pedestrian Zones	Apr 9, 2020	PredictionTrajectory Prediction	—Unverified
An End-to-End Vehicle Trajcetory Prediction Framework	Apr 19, 2023	Autonomous DrivingDecoder	—Unverified
An enhanced motion planning approach by integrating driving heterogeneity and long-term trajectory prediction for automated driving systems	Aug 2, 2023	Motion PlanningTrajectory Prediction	—Unverified
An Evaluation of Trajectory Prediction Approaches and Notes on the TrajNet Benchmark	May 19, 2018	Trajectory Prediction	—Unverified

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All datasets nuScenes Stanford Drone ETH/UCY ETH JAAD PIE ActEV INTERACTION Dataset - Validation PAID TrajNet ApolloScape HEV-I

Benchmark Results

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	CoverNet	MinADE_5	4.61	—	Unverified
2	xli4217	MinADE_5	4.46	—	Unverified
3	Physics Oracle	MinADE_5	3.7	—	Unverified
4	KeepCalm	MinADE_5	2.74	—	Unverified
5	CoverNet, Fixed, Epsilon 2	MinADE_5	2.62	—	Unverified
6	Semir	MinADE_5	2.38	—	Unverified
7	8536	MinADE_5	2.36	—	Unverified
8	teamcc	MinADE_5	2.28	—	Unverified
9	pq	MinADE_5	2.23	—	Unverified
10	VI tp	MinADE_5	2.08	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Social LSTM	ADE (8/12) @K=5	31.19	—	Unverified
2	Social GAN	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	27.23	—	Unverified
3	DESIRE	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	19.25	—	Unverified
4	SoPhie	ADE (8/12) @K=5	16.27	—	Unverified
5	Sophie	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	16.27	—	Unverified
6	CGNS	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	15.6	—	Unverified
7	Multiverse	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	14.78	—	Unverified
8	EvolveGraph	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	13.9	—	Unverified
9	CF-VAE	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	12.6	—	Unverified
10	P2TIRL	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	12.58	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Sophie	ADE-8/12	0.54	—	Unverified
2	Social-STGCNN	ADE-8/12	0.49	—	Unverified
3	CGNS	ADE-8/12	0.49	—	Unverified
4	Social BiGAT	ADE-8/12	0.48	—	Unverified
5	Next	ADE-8/12	0.46	—	Unverified
6	TPNSTA	ADE-8/12	0.37	—	Unverified
7	Social-Implicit	ADE-8/12	0.33	—	Unverified
8	MANTRA	ADE-8/12	0.32	—	Unverified
9	Transformer TF	ADE-8/12	0.31	—	Unverified
10	PECNet	ADE-8/12	0.29	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	ExpertTraj	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	19.2	—	Unverified
2	Social-GAN	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	1.42	—	Unverified
3	Social-STGCNN	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	1.26	—	Unverified
4	Trajectron++	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	1.01	—	Unverified
5	Social-Implicit	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	0.9	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Bayesian-LSTM	MSE(0.5)	159	—	Unverified
2	FOL-X	MSE(0.5)	147	—	Unverified
3	PIE_traj	MSE(0.5)	110	—	Unverified
4	BiTrap-D	MSE(0.5)	93	—	Unverified
5	SGNet	MSE(0.5)	82	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Bayesian-LSTM	MSE(0.5)	159	—	Unverified
2	FOL-X	MSE(0.5)	147	—	Unverified
3	PIE_traj	MSE(0.5)	58	—	Unverified
4	Bitrap-D	MSE(0.5)	41	—	Unverified
5	SGNet	MSE(0.5)	34	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Multiverse	ADE-8/12	18.51	—	Unverified
2	Next	ADE-8/12	17.99	—	Unverified
3	SimAug	ADE-8/12	17.96	—	Unverified
4	Pishgu	ADE-8/12	14.11	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	GOHOME	minFDE6	0.45	—	Unverified
2	DESIRE	minADE6	0.32	—	Unverified
3	TNT	minADE6	0.21	—	Unverified
4	ITRA	minADE6	0.17	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	DESIRE	minADE3	0.29	—	Unverified
2	MultiPath	minADE3	0.23	—	Unverified
3	TNT	minADE3	0.18	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Social LSTM	FDE	1.17	—	Unverified
2	U-LSTM + Social Pooling	FDE	1.15	—	Unverified
3	Social-NCE + Social-LSTM	FDE	1.14	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	rule-based	FDE	5.99	—	Unverified
2	SpectralCows	ADE	0.01	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	FOL-X	ADE(0.5)	6.7	—	Unverified
2	SGNet	ADE(0.5)	6.28	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	TraPHic	RMSE	5.63	—	Unverified
2	Pishgu	ADE	0.88	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Trafficpredict	ADE	8.59	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	HeteroGCN	MR (K=6)	0.12	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	HeteroGCN	MR (K=6)	0.18	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Social Ways	ADE-8/12	0.39	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Multiverse	ADE	168.9	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Support Vector Machines	Accuracy	88	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Skeleton-Graph	ADE	192	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Social Ways	ADE-8/12	0.39	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	SpectralCows	ADE	0.01	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Skeleton-Graph	ADE	280	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Multiclass-SGCN (ours)	mADEK @4.8s	14.36	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	DAG-Net	ADE	9.18	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	DAG-Net	ADE	7.01	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	TraPHic	RMSE	0.78	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	TrajAirNet	ADE (in world coordinates)	0.73	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Social-Implicit	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	0.9	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	ST-MoE-BERT	Accuracy	28.7	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	ST-MoE-BERT	Accuracy	28.9	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	ST-MoE-BERT	Accuracy	26.5	—	Unverified