Trajectory Prediction

Trajectory Prediction is the problem of predicting the short-term (1-3 seconds) and long-term (3-5 seconds) spatial coordinates of various road-agents such as cars, buses, pedestrians, rickshaws, and animals, etc. These road-agents have different dynamic behaviors that may correspond to aggressive or conservative driving styles.

Source: Forecasting Trajectory and Behavior of Road-Agents Using Spectral Clustering in Graph-LSTMs

Papers

Recently Added Most Hyped Most Active Needs Verification Most Verified

Showing 26–50 of 1004 papers

Title	Date	Tasks	Status	Hype
Leapfrog Diffusion Model for Stochastic Trajectory Prediction	Mar 20, 2023	Denoisingmodel	CodeCode Available	2
Query-Centric Trajectory Prediction	Jan 1, 2023	Autonomous DrivingAutonomous Vehicles	CodeCode Available	2
Motion Transformer with Global Intention Localization and Local Movement Refinement	Sep 27, 2022	motion predictionPrediction	CodeCode Available	2
A real-time dynamic obstacle tracking and mapping system for UAV navigation and collision avoidance with an RGB-D camera	Sep 17, 2022	Autonomous DrivingCollision Avoidance	CodeCode Available	2
Stochastic Trajectory Prediction via Motion Indeterminacy Diffusion	Mar 25, 2022	DiversityPedestrian Trajectory Prediction	CodeCode Available	2
M2I: From Factored Marginal Trajectory Prediction to Interactive Prediction	Feb 24, 2022	Open-Ended Question AnsweringPrediction	CodeCode Available	2
HiVT: Hierarchical Vector Transformer for Multi-Agent Motion Prediction	Jan 1, 2022	Autonomous DrivingAutonomous Vehicles	CodeCode Available	2
CoverNet: Multimodal Behavior Prediction using Trajectory Sets	Nov 23, 2019	Predictionregression	CodeCode Available	2
Egocentric Event-Based Vision for Ping Pong Ball Trajectory Prediction	Jun 9, 2025	Event-based visionTrajectory Forecasting	CodeCode Available	1
AIS Data-Driven Maritime Monitoring Based on Transformer: A Comprehensive Review	May 12, 2025	Trajectory Prediction	CodeCode Available	1
TrajEvo: Designing Trajectory Prediction Heuristics via LLM-driven Evolution	May 7, 2025	DiversityPrediction	CodeCode Available	1
Towards Ball Spin and Trajectory Analysis in Table Tennis Broadcast Videos via Physically Grounded Synthetic-to-Real Transfer	Apr 28, 2025	Monocular 3D Object LocalizationSports Analytics	CodeCode Available	1
Lightweight LiDAR-Camera 3D Dynamic Object Detection and Multi-Class Trajectory Prediction	Apr 18, 2025	3D Object DetectionGPU	CodeCode Available	1
Hydra-NeXt: Robust Closed-Loop Driving with Open-Loop Training	Mar 15, 2025	Autonomous DrivingBench2Drive	CodeCode Available	1
Trajectory Mamba: Efficient Attention-Mamba Forecasting Model Based on Selective SSM	Mar 13, 2025	Autonomous DrivingDecoder	CodeCode Available	1
Unified Human Localization and Trajectory Prediction with Monocular Vision	Mar 5, 2025	PredictionTrajectory Prediction	CodeCode Available	1
Co-MTP: A Cooperative Trajectory Prediction Framework with Multi-Temporal Fusion for Autonomous Driving	Feb 23, 2025	Autonomous DrivingPrediction	CodeCode Available	1
Unified Spatial-Temporal Edge-Enhanced Graph Networks for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction	Feb 4, 2025	Pedestrian Trajectory PredictionTrajectory Prediction	CodeCode Available	1
Dream to Drive with Predictive Individual World Model	Jan 28, 2025	Autonomous Drivingmodel	CodeCode Available	1
DSTIGCN: Deformable Spatial-Temporal Interaction Graph Convolution Network for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction	Jan 16, 2025	Autonomous DrivingPedestrian Trajectory Prediction	CodeCode Available	1
TrajLearn: Trajectory Prediction Learning using Deep Generative Models	Dec 30, 2024	Autonomous NavigationBenchmarking	CodeCode Available	1
Generating Traffic Scenarios via In-Context Learning to Learn Better Motion Planner	Dec 24, 2024	Autonomous DrivingDataset Generation	CodeCode Available	1
Learning Group Interactions and Semantic Intentions for Multi-Object Trajectory Prediction	Dec 20, 2024	PredictionTrajectory Prediction	CodeCode Available	1
A Multi-Loss Strategy for Vehicle Trajectory Prediction: Combining Off-Road, Diversity, and Directional Consistency Losses	Nov 29, 2024	Autonomous DrivingAutonomous Vehicles	CodeCode Available	1
Multi-Transmotion: Pre-trained Model for Human Motion Prediction	Nov 4, 2024	Human motion predictionmotion prediction	CodeCode Available	1

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All datasets nuScenes Stanford Drone ETH/UCY ETH JAAD PIE ActEV INTERACTION Dataset - Validation PAID TrajNet ApolloScape HEV-I

Benchmark Results

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	CoverNet	MinADE_5	4.61	—	Unverified
2	xli4217	MinADE_5	4.46	—	Unverified
3	Physics Oracle	MinADE_5	3.7	—	Unverified
4	KeepCalm	MinADE_5	2.74	—	Unverified
5	CoverNet, Fixed, Epsilon 2	MinADE_5	2.62	—	Unverified
6	Semir	MinADE_5	2.38	—	Unverified
7	8536	MinADE_5	2.36	—	Unverified
8	teamcc	MinADE_5	2.28	—	Unverified
9	pq	MinADE_5	2.23	—	Unverified
10	VI tp	MinADE_5	2.08	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Social LSTM	ADE (8/12) @K=5	31.19	—	Unverified
2	Social GAN	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	27.23	—	Unverified
3	DESIRE	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	19.25	—	Unverified
4	SoPhie	ADE (8/12) @K=5	16.27	—	Unverified
5	Sophie	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	16.27	—	Unverified
6	CGNS	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	15.6	—	Unverified
7	Multiverse	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	14.78	—	Unverified
8	EvolveGraph	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	13.9	—	Unverified
9	CF-VAE	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	12.6	—	Unverified
10	P2TIRL	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	12.58	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Sophie	ADE-8/12	0.54	—	Unverified
2	CGNS	ADE-8/12	0.49	—	Unverified
3	Social-STGCNN	ADE-8/12	0.49	—	Unverified
4	Social BiGAT	ADE-8/12	0.48	—	Unverified
5	Next	ADE-8/12	0.46	—	Unverified
6	TPNSTA	ADE-8/12	0.37	—	Unverified
7	Social-Implicit	ADE-8/12	0.33	—	Unverified
8	MANTRA	ADE-8/12	0.32	—	Unverified
9	Transformer TF	ADE-8/12	0.31	—	Unverified
10	PECNet	ADE-8/12	0.29	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	ExpertTraj	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	19.2	—	Unverified
2	Social-GAN	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	1.42	—	Unverified
3	Social-STGCNN	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	1.26	—	Unverified
4	Trajectron++	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	1.01	—	Unverified
5	Social-Implicit	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	0.9	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Bayesian-LSTM	MSE(0.5)	159	—	Unverified
2	FOL-X	MSE(0.5)	147	—	Unverified
3	PIE_traj	MSE(0.5)	110	—	Unverified
4	BiTrap-D	MSE(0.5)	93	—	Unverified
5	SGNet	MSE(0.5)	82	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Bayesian-LSTM	MSE(0.5)	159	—	Unverified
2	FOL-X	MSE(0.5)	147	—	Unverified
3	PIE_traj	MSE(0.5)	58	—	Unverified
4	Bitrap-D	MSE(0.5)	41	—	Unverified
5	SGNet	MSE(0.5)	34	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Multiverse	ADE-8/12	18.51	—	Unverified
2	Next	ADE-8/12	17.99	—	Unverified
3	SimAug	ADE-8/12	17.96	—	Unverified
4	Pishgu	ADE-8/12	14.11	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	GOHOME	minFDE6	0.45	—	Unverified
2	DESIRE	minADE6	0.32	—	Unverified
3	TNT	minADE6	0.21	—	Unverified
4	ITRA	minADE6	0.17	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	DESIRE	minADE3	0.29	—	Unverified
2	MultiPath	minADE3	0.23	—	Unverified
3	TNT	minADE3	0.18	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Social LSTM	FDE	1.17	—	Unverified
2	U-LSTM + Social Pooling	FDE	1.15	—	Unverified
3	Social-NCE + Social-LSTM	FDE	1.14	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	rule-based	FDE	5.99	—	Unverified
2	SpectralCows	ADE	0.01	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	FOL-X	ADE(0.5)	6.7	—	Unverified
2	SGNet	ADE(0.5)	6.28	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	TraPHic	RMSE	5.63	—	Unverified
2	Pishgu	ADE	0.88	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Trafficpredict	ADE	8.59	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	HeteroGCN	MR (K=6)	0.12	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	HeteroGCN	MR (K=6)	0.18	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Social Ways	ADE-8/12	0.39	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Multiverse	ADE	168.9	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Support Vector Machines	Accuracy	88	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Skeleton-Graph	ADE	192	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Social Ways	ADE-8/12	0.39	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	SpectralCows	ADE	0.01	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Skeleton-Graph	ADE	280	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Multiclass-SGCN (ours)	mADEK @4.8s	14.36	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	DAG-Net	ADE	9.18	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	DAG-Net	ADE	7.01	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	TraPHic	RMSE	0.78	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	TrajAirNet	ADE (in world coordinates)	0.73	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Social-Implicit	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	0.9	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	ST-MoE-BERT	Accuracy	28.7	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	ST-MoE-BERT	Accuracy	28.9	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	ST-MoE-BERT	Accuracy	26.5	—	Unverified