Trajectory Prediction

Trajectory Prediction is the problem of predicting the short-term (1-3 seconds) and long-term (3-5 seconds) spatial coordinates of various road-agents such as cars, buses, pedestrians, rickshaws, and animals, etc. These road-agents have different dynamic behaviors that may correspond to aggressive or conservative driving styles.

Source: Forecasting Trajectory and Behavior of Road-Agents Using Spectral Clustering in Graph-LSTMs

Papers

Recently Added Most Hyped Most Active Needs Verification Most Verified

Showing 1–25 of 1004 papers

Title	Date	Tasks	Status	Hype	Score
Trajectory Prediction Meets Large Language Models: A Survey	Jun 3, 2025	Language ModelingLanguage Modelling	CodeCode Available	5	5
Senna: Bridging Large Vision-Language Models and End-to-End Autonomous Driving	Oct 29, 2024	Autonomous DrivingScene Understanding	CodeCode Available	4	5
Impromptu VLA: Open Weights and Open Data for Driving Vision-Language-Action Models	May 29, 2025	Autonomous DrivingDiagnostic	CodeCode Available	3	5
Producing and Leveraging Online Map Uncertainty in Trajectory Prediction	Mar 25, 2024	Autonomous DrivingPrediction	CodeCode Available	3	5
CRITERIA: a New Benchmarking Paradigm for Evaluating Trajectory Prediction Models for Autonomous Driving	Oct 11, 2023	Autonomous DrivingBenchmarking	CodeCode Available	3	5
UniTraj: A Unified Framework for Scalable Vehicle Trajectory Prediction	Mar 22, 2024	DiversityPrediction	CodeCode Available	3	5
Accelerating Online Mapping and Behavior Prediction via Direct BEV Feature Attention	Jul 9, 2024	Autonomous DrivingDecoder	CodeCode Available	2	5
Physical Plausibility-aware Trajectory Prediction via Locomotion Embodiment	Mar 21, 2025	PredictionTrajectory Prediction	CodeCode Available	2	5
Progressive Pretext Task Learning for Human Trajectory Prediction	Jul 16, 2024	Knowledge DistillationPrediction	CodeCode Available	2	5
MART: MultiscAle Relational Transformer Networks for Multi-agent Trajectory Prediction	Jul 31, 2024	Autonomous DrivingPrediction	CodeCode Available	2	5
RaTrack: Moving Object Detection and Tracking with 4D Radar Point Cloud	Sep 18, 2023	Motion EstimationMotion Segmentation	CodeCode Available	2	5
Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction with Difficulty-Guided Feature Enhancement Network	Jul 26, 2024	Autonomous DrivingDecoder	CodeCode Available	2	5
A Simple and Model-Free Path Filtering Algorithm for Smoothing and Accuracy	Jul 23, 2023	Autonomous DrivingDenoising	CodeCode Available	2	5
Toward Unified Practices in Trajectory Prediction Research on Bird's-Eye-View Datasets	May 1, 2024	Autonomous VehiclesMotion Forecasting	CodeCode Available	2	5
Metric Flow Matching for Smooth Interpolations on the Data Manifold	May 23, 2024	Trajectory Prediction	CodeCode Available	2	5
Drones Help Drones: A Collaborative Framework for Multi-Drone Object Trajectory Prediction and Beyond	May 23, 2024	3D Object Detectionobject-detection	CodeCode Available	2	5
A Cognitive-Based Trajectory Prediction Approach for Autonomous Driving	Feb 29, 2024	Autonomous DrivingDecision Making	CodeCode Available	2	5
HiP-AD: Hierarchical and Multi-Granularity Planning with Deformable Attention for Autonomous Driving in a Single Decoder	Mar 11, 2025	Autonomous DrivingBench2Drive	CodeCode Available	2	5
CoverNet: Multimodal Behavior Prediction using Trajectory Sets	Nov 23, 2019	Predictionregression	CodeCode Available	2	5
Can Language Beat Numerical Regression? Language-Based Multimodal Trajectory Prediction	Mar 27, 2024	Image CaptioningLanguage Modeling	CodeCode Available	2	5
Leapfrog Diffusion Model for Stochastic Trajectory Prediction	Mar 20, 2023	Denoisingmodel	CodeCode Available	2	5
M2I: From Factored Marginal Trajectory Prediction to Interactive Prediction	Feb 24, 2022	Open-Ended Question AnsweringPrediction	CodeCode Available	2	5
Motion Transformer with Global Intention Localization and Local Movement Refinement	Sep 27, 2022	motion predictionPrediction	CodeCode Available	2	5
A real-time dynamic obstacle tracking and mapping system for UAV navigation and collision avoidance with an RGB-D camera	Sep 17, 2022	Autonomous DrivingCollision Avoidance	CodeCode Available	2	5
Certified Human Trajectory Prediction	Mar 20, 2024	Autonomous VehiclesPrediction	CodeCode Available	2	5

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All datasets nuScenes Stanford Drone ETH/UCY ETH JAAD PIE ActEV INTERACTION Dataset - Validation PAID TrajNet ApolloScape HEV-I

Benchmark Results

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	CoverNet	MinADE_5	4.61	—	Unverified
2	xli4217	MinADE_5	4.46	—	Unverified
3	Physics Oracle	MinADE_5	3.7	—	Unverified
4	KeepCalm	MinADE_5	2.74	—	Unverified
5	CoverNet, Fixed, Epsilon 2	MinADE_5	2.62	—	Unverified
6	Semir	MinADE_5	2.38	—	Unverified
7	8536	MinADE_5	2.36	—	Unverified
8	teamcc	MinADE_5	2.28	—	Unverified
9	pq	MinADE_5	2.23	—	Unverified
10	VI tp	MinADE_5	2.08	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Social LSTM	ADE (8/12) @K=5	31.19	—	Unverified
2	Social GAN	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	27.23	—	Unverified
3	DESIRE	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	19.25	—	Unverified
4	SoPhie	ADE (8/12) @K=5	16.27	—	Unverified
5	Sophie	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	16.27	—	Unverified
6	CGNS	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	15.6	—	Unverified
7	Multiverse	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	14.78	—	Unverified
8	EvolveGraph	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	13.9	—	Unverified
9	CF-VAE	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	12.6	—	Unverified
10	P2TIRL	ADE-8/12 @K = 20	12.58	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Sophie	ADE-8/12	0.54	—	Unverified
2	CGNS	ADE-8/12	0.49	—	Unverified
3	Social-STGCNN	ADE-8/12	0.49	—	Unverified
4	Social BiGAT	ADE-8/12	0.48	—	Unverified
5	Next	ADE-8/12	0.46	—	Unverified
6	TPNSTA	ADE-8/12	0.37	—	Unverified
7	Social-Implicit	ADE-8/12	0.33	—	Unverified
8	MANTRA	ADE-8/12	0.32	—	Unverified
9	Transformer TF	ADE-8/12	0.31	—	Unverified
10	PECNet	ADE-8/12	0.29	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	ExpertTraj	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	19.2	—	Unverified
2	Social-GAN	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	1.42	—	Unverified
3	Social-STGCNN	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	1.26	—	Unverified
4	Trajectron++	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	1.01	—	Unverified
5	Social-Implicit	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	0.9	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Bayesian-LSTM	MSE(0.5)	159	—	Unverified
2	FOL-X	MSE(0.5)	147	—	Unverified
3	PIE_traj	MSE(0.5)	110	—	Unverified
4	BiTrap-D	MSE(0.5)	93	—	Unverified
5	SGNet	MSE(0.5)	82	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Bayesian-LSTM	MSE(0.5)	159	—	Unverified
2	FOL-X	MSE(0.5)	147	—	Unverified
3	PIE_traj	MSE(0.5)	58	—	Unverified
4	Bitrap-D	MSE(0.5)	41	—	Unverified
5	SGNet	MSE(0.5)	34	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Multiverse	ADE-8/12	18.51	—	Unverified
2	Next	ADE-8/12	17.99	—	Unverified
3	SimAug	ADE-8/12	17.96	—	Unverified
4	Pishgu	ADE-8/12	14.11	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	GOHOME	minFDE6	0.45	—	Unverified
2	DESIRE	minADE6	0.32	—	Unverified
3	TNT	minADE6	0.21	—	Unverified
4	ITRA	minADE6	0.17	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	DESIRE	minADE3	0.29	—	Unverified
2	MultiPath	minADE3	0.23	—	Unverified
3	TNT	minADE3	0.18	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Social LSTM	FDE	1.17	—	Unverified
2	U-LSTM + Social Pooling	FDE	1.15	—	Unverified
3	Social-NCE + Social-LSTM	FDE	1.14	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	rule-based	FDE	5.99	—	Unverified
2	SpectralCows	ADE	0.01	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	FOL-X	ADE(0.5)	6.7	—	Unverified
2	SGNet	ADE(0.5)	6.28	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	TraPHic	RMSE	5.63	—	Unverified
2	Pishgu	ADE	0.88	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Trafficpredict	ADE	8.59	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	HeteroGCN	MR (K=6)	0.12	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	HeteroGCN	MR (K=6)	0.18	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Social Ways	ADE-8/12	0.39	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Multiverse	ADE	168.9	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Support Vector Machines	Accuracy	88	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Skeleton-Graph	ADE	192	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Social Ways	ADE-8/12	0.39	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	SpectralCows	ADE	0.01	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Skeleton-Graph	ADE	280	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Multiclass-SGCN (ours)	mADEK @4.8s	14.36	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	DAG-Net	ADE	9.18	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	DAG-Net	ADE	7.01	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	TraPHic	RMSE	0.78	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	TrajAirNet	ADE (in world coordinates)	0.73	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	Social-Implicit	Avg AMD/AMV 8/12	0.9	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	ST-MoE-BERT	Accuracy	28.7	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	ST-MoE-BERT	Accuracy	28.9	—	Unverified

#	Model	Metric	Claimed	Verified	Status
1	ST-MoE-BERT	Accuracy	26.5	—	Unverified