Support Vector Regression: Risk Quadrangle Framework

Abstract

This paper investigates Support Vector Regression (SVR) within the framework of the Risk Quadrangle (RQ) theory. Every RQ includes four stochastic functionals -- error, regret, risk, and deviation, bound together by a so-called statistic. The RQ framework unifies stochastic optimization, risk management, and statistical estimation. Within this framework, both -SVR and -SVR are shown to reduce to the minimization of the Vapnik error and the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) norm, respectively. The Vapnik error and CVaR norm define quadrangles with a statistic equal to the average of two symmetric quantiles. Therefore, RQ theory implies that -SVR and -SVR are asymptotically unbiased estimators of the average of two symmetric conditional quantiles. Moreover, the equivalence between -SVR and -SVR is demonstrated in a general stochastic setting. Additionally, SVR is formulated as a deviation minimization problem. Another implication of the RQ theory is the formulation of -SVR as a Distributionally Robust Regression (DRR) problem. Finally, an alternative dual formulation of SVR within the RQ framework is derived. Theoretical results are validated with a case study.

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