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Graph Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Traffic Forecasting

2021-12-07Code Available1· sign in to hype

Jeongwhan Choi, Hwangyong Choi, Jeehyun Hwang, Noseong Park

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Abstract

Traffic forecasting is one of the most popular spatio-temporal tasks in the field of machine learning. A prevalent approach in the field is to combine graph convolutional networks and recurrent neural networks for the spatio-temporal processing. There has been fierce competition and many novel methods have been proposed. In this paper, we present the method of spatio-temporal graph neural controlled differential equation (STG-NCDE). Neural controlled differential equations (NCDEs) are a breakthrough concept for processing sequential data. We extend the concept and design two NCDEs: one for the temporal processing and the other for the spatial processing. After that, we combine them into a single framework. We conduct experiments with 6 benchmark datasets and 20 baselines. STG-NCDE shows the best accuracy in all cases, outperforming all those 20 baselines by non-trivial margins.

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Benchmark Results

DatasetModelMetricClaimedVerifiedStatus
PeMSD3STG-NCDE12 steps MAE15.57Unverified
PeMSD4STG-NCDE12 steps MAE19.21Unverified
PeMSD7STG-NCDE12 steps MAE20.53Unverified
PeMSD7(L)STG-NCDE12 steps MAE2.87Unverified
PeMSD7(M)STG-NCDE12 steps MAE2.68Unverified
PeMSD8STG-NCDE12 steps MAE15.45Unverified

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