Graph Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Traffic Forecasting
Jeongwhan Choi, Hwangyong Choi, Jeehyun Hwang, Noseong Park
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ReproduceCode
- github.com/jeongwhanchoi/STG-NCDEOfficialpytorch★ 167
Abstract
Traffic forecasting is one of the most popular spatio-temporal tasks in the field of machine learning. A prevalent approach in the field is to combine graph convolutional networks and recurrent neural networks for the spatio-temporal processing. There has been fierce competition and many novel methods have been proposed. In this paper, we present the method of spatio-temporal graph neural controlled differential equation (STG-NCDE). Neural controlled differential equations (NCDEs) are a breakthrough concept for processing sequential data. We extend the concept and design two NCDEs: one for the temporal processing and the other for the spatial processing. After that, we combine them into a single framework. We conduct experiments with 6 benchmark datasets and 20 baselines. STG-NCDE shows the best accuracy in all cases, outperforming all those 20 baselines by non-trivial margins.
Tasks
Benchmark Results
| Dataset | Model | Metric | Claimed | Verified | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PeMSD3 | STG-NCDE | 12 steps MAE | 15.57 | — | Unverified |
| PeMSD4 | STG-NCDE | 12 steps MAE | 19.21 | — | Unverified |
| PeMSD7 | STG-NCDE | 12 steps MAE | 20.53 | — | Unverified |
| PeMSD7(L) | STG-NCDE | 12 steps MAE | 2.87 | — | Unverified |
| PeMSD7(M) | STG-NCDE | 12 steps MAE | 2.68 | — | Unverified |
| PeMSD8 | STG-NCDE | 12 steps MAE | 15.45 | — | Unverified |