Critical Decisions for Asset Allocation via Penalized Quantile Regression
Giovanni Bonaccolto
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We extend the analysis of investment strategies derived from penalized quantile regression models, introducing alternative approaches to improve state of art asset allocation rules. First, we use a post penalization procedure to deal with overshrinking and concentration issues. Second, we investigate whether and to what extent the performance changes when moving from convex to nonconvex penalty functions. Third, we compare different methods to select the optimal tuning parameter which controls the intensity of the penalization. Empirical analyses on real world data show that these alternative methods outperform the simple LASSO. This evidence becomes stronger when focusing on the extreme risk, which is strictly linked to the quantile regression method.